Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on September 29, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ105Sep 29
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the U3O8 spot price reported by UxC or TradeTech on September 29, 2026, is strictly above $60 per pound. This market captures the impact of Kazatomprom's long-term contract with India, which is expected to reduce spot market supply and potentially drive prices higher. The current spot price is approximately $81.70/lb, but given market volatility and contracting cycles, $60/lb is chosen as a threshold near the expected price level to reflect realistic uncertainty. Only the official spot price on that date counts; forward or futures prices do not resolve this market.
The long-term contract implies reduced supply on the spot market, potentially driving up uranium prices.
Source: Article
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on August 29, 2026?
86% chance
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on September 29, 2026?
87% chance
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $90 per pound on August 29, 2026?
59% chance
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $40 per pound on September 29, 2026?
88% chance
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on August 29, 2026?
88% chance
Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $40 per pound on August 29, 2026?
88% chance
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $100/lb by Mar 2028?
67% chance
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?
43% chance
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?
42% chance
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
28% chance