This market resolves to YES if the US Department of Defense (DoD) or a major reputable news outlet (AP, Reuters, CNN) confirms that a US Navy aircraft carrier (e.g., the USS Abraham Lincoln) has sustained a direct hit or damage from an Iranian or proxy-led missile or drone strike before 11:59 PM ET on March 10, 2026.

It resolves to NO if no such strike is confirmed or if reported strikes are intercepted with no damage to the vessel.

Quantitative Threshold: "Success" is defined as a strike that makes physical contact with the hull or flight deck of the carrier.