MANIFOLD
What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?
44
Ṁ3.1kṀ7.5k
Dec 7
92%
Hamilton gets a podium finish
81%
Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast
70%
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
65%
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
65%
A team principle gets replaced during the season
63%
A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)
61%
Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3
60%
WDC winner wins their first title
59%
Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race
57%
No pit crew injuries during any race.
50%
race cancelled or moved due to military operations
50%
A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently
50%
A rear-end accident because of super-clipping
48%
Bottas scores more points than Perez
48%
Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen
47%
The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams
43%
Lewis Hamilton announces retirement
40%
Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom
39%
Lance Stroll announces retirement
38%
Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.

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Formula 1
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@AlexanderTheGreater it must be while the actual session is still going.

bought Ṁ40 YES

@AlexanderTheGreater Easy yes IMO

bought Ṁ10 NO

@BlitzEver assuming she's gonna attend a race.

@AlexanderTheGreater Well, it's a bet I'm hoping to lose

@AlexanderTheGreater I made a separate market for Ferrari exact finishing position in the WCC: https://manifold.markets/BlitzEver/f1-2026-in-which-position-will-ferr?r=QmxpdHpFdmVy

bought Ṁ10 YES

There are 2 "Hamilton Podium". Is it intended to be this way?

@BlitzEver lol, no. Good catch. I resolved the one without trades as NA

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