AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ15k

Dec 31

12%

chance

ALL

RSG = Random Seed Glitchless

Must be Java version
CAN:

Can use scaffolds or similar.

CAN'T:

Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.

Can't get human help.

Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)

Traders may want to look at the official rulebook for Minecraft RSG:

https://www.minecraftspeedrunning.com/public-resources/rules

Important: For the purpose of this market, the run must generally follow the Minecraft RSG rules insofar as the rules are not related at all to the fact that the participant is human. For example:

If the rulebook says you can't write stuff down, and instead need to keep things to memory, but the AI keeps things to memory by writing information into its memory bank, that is allowed.
If the rulebook says snapshots can't be used to set Minecraft RSG runs, the AI must not use snapshots to resolve this market positively, as this rule is not related to the fact that it is an AI.

However, uninvolved persons may determine, at time of resolution, whether a rule ought to be allowed or ignored on a case-by-case basis, in case of ambiguity.

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What I/O systems between the AI and Minecraft instance count for this market? Following the RSG leaderboard rules (no outside mods), the only input can be what a human would see, and the only output would be keyboard/mouse controls. This goes against what the description says that scaffolds are allowed, but depending on how "scaffolds" are defined this market (and the 2028/2029 markets) could be basically 0%.

Isn't AI still having trouble with simpler, slower paced games like Pokemon Red? Beating Minecraft requires lots of opening inventory; I think it would have trouble with this every time it picks up items and has to open the inventory or recall the context.

@DylanRichardson A bunch of work has been done on this specific to Minecraft, and the results are impressive, including progressing through the game autonomously on random seeds. That being said, the chance of completion (dragon slain) in 10 mins, only seeing what a human player would see, using AI specifically, seems vanishingly small.