MANIFOLD
GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date
38
Ṁ1.2kṀ6.5k
Dec 31
8%
Before April 2026
26%
Before May 2026
56%
Before June 2026
64%
Before July 2026
69%
Before August 2026
69%
Before September 2026
71%
Before October 2026
78%
Before November 2026
78%
Before December 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as 'GPT 5.5 Turbo', or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 5.5, will count for the purpose of this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

GPT 5.4 (OpenAI) release date

GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date (this market)

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date

Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date

Grok 5 (xAI) release date

Llama 5 (Meta) release date

V4 (DeepSeek) release date

R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date

Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date

GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date

M3 (Minimax) release date

Mistral 4 (Mistral) release date

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Veo 4 (Google) release date

New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date

'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date

Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date

Market context
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bought Ṁ20 YES

if OpenAI skip 5.5 and go to 5.6 or 6, for example, you’ve said this would not count, so would these all resolve NA or all no?

Would GPT 6 count?

5.5 codex count?

@7028 yea

OpenAI said that the next model they will release is GPT 5.3. Though I agree that the market should not resolve yes.

Would 5.3 count? Doesn't look like there is a similar market for potential releases between 5.2 and 5.5.

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