MANIFOLD
Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?
23
Ṁ450Ṁ1.6k
Dec 31
89%
The U.S, and Iran go to war
87%
Israel and Iran go to war
79%
The strait of Hormuz is closed
64%
At least 10 American troops are killed
55%
The conflict wraps up by the end of March.
47%
The Iranian regime will collapse
34%
Crude oil prices top $100
34%
THere is a major domestic terrorist attack in Europe by Iranian-backed terrorists
30%
There is a major domestic terrorist attack in the U.S. by Iranian-aligned terrorists
27%
At least 1,000 Israeli civilians are killed
24%
At least 1,000 civilian deaths in the Arab Gulf countries
20%
Benjamin Netanyahu is deposed
17%
At least 10,000 Iranian civilians are killed
11%
Donald Trump is deposed
9%
At least 100 American civilians are killed
5%
World War III starts
3%
A nuclear weapon is used offensively
Resolved
YES
Ayatollah Khamenei is deposed

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Last I saw on this it was very much a war of Iran chewing through its giant stockpile of missiles, rapid firing them at Israeli cities for weeks, who were in turn shooting them down.

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