If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?
9
Ṁ1kṀ722Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
71%
Stay on as an mp until the date of the next UK general election?
40%
Stay on as an mp and contest a constituency in the next UK general election?
17%
Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
Stay on= be an mp continuously until then. If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
Add Suggestions for answers below.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
58% chance
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
66% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
9% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
12% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
16% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?
77% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
27% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
17% chance